Monday, October 15, 2012

Predictions 10/15/2012

It sure looks like the polls have stabilized over the weekend and it appears as if Biden has in fact stopped the bleeeding leading to tomorrows crucial townhall debate. My confidence in Obama winning the all important state of Ohio has seen a slight increase and Colorado looks to be more of a dead heat then what it did Friday. Still no change on the total count or projected finish. As a reminder the color of the number under the change category indicates which direction it moved since Friday. (Blue is Obama...Red is Romney)


Toss-Up States


Projected Winner


EV


Confidence 


Change
Nevada Obama 6 65% 0%
Colorado Romney 9 60% 5%
Florida Romney 29 65% 0%
Virginia Romney 13 55% 0%
Ohio Obama 18 65% 5%
New Hampshire Obama 4 60% 0%
Leaning States
Iowa Obama 6 70% 5%
Wisconsin Obama 10 70% 0%
North Carolina Romney 15 80% 0%
Leaning States Obama 16 70-85% 0
Romney 15 70-85% 0
Safe States Obama 237 90% + 0
Romney 191 90% + 0
Total Obama 253 0
Romney 206
Toss-Ups 79 50-65% 0
Projected Finish Obama 281 0
Romney 257 0

Anyone wishing to see this in map form, with the including of toss-up states may click on the following link

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