Predictions 10/15/2012

It sure looks like the polls have stabilized over the weekend and it appears as if Biden has in fact stopped the bleeeding leading to tomorrows crucial townhall debate. My confidence in Obama winning the all important state of Ohio has seen a slight increase and Colorado looks to be more of a dead heat then what it did Friday. Still no change on the total count or projected finish. As a reminder the color of the number under the change category indicates which direction it moved since Friday. (Blue is Obama...Red is Romney)

Toss-Up States	Projected Winner	EV	Confidence	Change
Nevada	Obama	6	65%	0%
Colorado	Romney	9	60%	5%
Florida	Romney	29	65%	0%
Virginia	Romney	13	55%	0%
Ohio	Obama	18	65%	5%
New Hampshire	Obama	4	60%	0%
Leaning States
Iowa	Obama	6	70%	5%
Wisconsin	Obama	10	70%	0%
North Carolina	Romney	15	80%	0%
Leaning States	Obama	16	70-85%	0
	Romney	15	70-85%	0
Safe States	Obama	237	90% +	0
	Romney	191	90% +	0
Total	Obama	253		0
	Romney	206
	Toss-Ups	79	50-65%	0
Projected Finish	Obama	281		0
	Romney	257		0

Anyone wishing to see this in map form, with the including of toss-up states may click on the following link

Political Progosticator Map