Predictions 11/1/2012

Toss-Up States	Projected Winner	EV	Confidence	Deficit	Change
Colorado	Obama	9	60%	1.20	1.20
Florida	Romney	29	60%	1.00	0.15
Iowa New Hampshire	Obama Obama	6 4	65% 60%	1.20 1.00	0.50 0.50
Ohio	Obama	18	65%	2.30	0.50
Virginia	Romney	13	50%	0.35	0.35
Leaning States
Nevada	Obama	6	80%	2.8	.20
North Carolina*	Romney	10	80%	3.6	1.10
Wisconsin Leaning States	Obama Obama	10 16	70% 70-85%	2.80	.90 10
	Romney	10	70-85%		10
Safe States	Obama	237	90% +		0
	Romney	181	90% +		10
Total	Obama	259			10
	Romney	206			0
	Toss-Ups	73	50-65%		-10
Projected Finish	Obama	290			9
	Romney	248			-9
Popular Vote	Obama	1.40			0.20